More Funds for CA Clean Vehicle Rebate Program – But Not LSVs

The California Energy Commission is adding $4.5 million to the coffers of the state’s Clean Vehicle Rebate Program operated by the California Air Resources Board (CARB). Unfortunately for LSV manufacturers and purchasers the funds are earmarked only for highway capable zero-emission electric vehicles and light-duty plug-in hybrid electric vehicles that can carry at least four passengers. CARB has issued approximately 18,000 rebates totaling $41 million through its Clean Vehicle Rebate Program with a small percentage of those rebates for LSVs/NEVs.

Comment:  The exclusion of NEVs/LSVs is not too surprising. One of CARB’s goals of the program is to speed the adoption of new vehicle technologies. They do not consider LSV technology to be a new technology that can be transferred to highway capable vehicles. This is also apparent in the zero emission credit valuation of LSVs for their zero emission vehicle requirement program with which vehicle manufacturers must comply.

Learn more:  Greencarcongress.com

Small Vehicle Resource Announces New Market Study on the Small, Task-Oriented Vehicle Market in the US

 New STOV Market Study:  Trends, 2007-2011, Estimates and Forecasts 2012-2116

       New Study Analyzes the Product Base of an $12 Billion STOV Industry

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Small Vehicle Resource, LLC (SVR) has published the sixth in a series of market research reports on the small, task-oriented vehicle (STOV) industry. The report covers small vehicle products ranging from golf cars, light transport and portage vehicles built off golf car frames, to heavy duty traditional turf vehicles and off-road utility and recreational vehicles (side-by-sides). The study concentrates on the product side of an estimated $12+ billion industry, including parts and service.

 

SVR is the successor company to International Market Solutions, LLC with the same principals involved. “SVR,” explains Managing Director, Stephen Metzger, “is an appropriate rebranding of our research efforts, as ‘Small Vehicle Resource’ gives clear view of our focus in the STOV industry.” The Small, Task-Oriented Vehicle Market in the United States, Trends from 2006-2012, Forecasts to 2016 contains analyses and the outlook for:

• The golf car industry–the market for fleet golf cars;

• Privately-owned vehicles–golf cars, upgraded golf cars, low-speed vehicles (LSVs);

• Utility vehicles built on golf car or modified golf car frames;

• Heavy duty utility vehicles, focusing on off-road side-by-side vehicles;

• Non-traditional, or “crossover” competition across industry segments;

• Used vehicles as viable options to new vehicles;

• Technologies that will have an impact on the industry;

• State of the market survey from dealers’ perspective;

• Latest regulations on small vehicles ownership and use.

“Small, task-oriented vehicle or STOV is the generic term we created to describe exactly what these vehicles do,” states Metzger. “They are designed for a relatively narrow range of tasks, such as golf, personal transportation, haulage and other work functions, but for the most part are built off of a few universally applicable body frames and drive trains.” “This sets the stage,” Metzger continues, “for substantial crossover competition, with OEMs moving out of their traditional markets–a trend and development we analyze in detail.”

Major findings in the study are:

  • SVR forecasts new vehicle production for the overall STOV market to grow 18% from estimated 462,000 units in 2012 to approximately 545,000 units in 2016;
  • Excluding the off-road segment which is predominantly ICE, electric power continues to gain significantly in units sold, across all segments of the golf car-type market, that includes golf cars, privately-owned vehicles, and light portage and transport vehicles increasing from 72% in 2007 to a projected 82% in 2016.
  • Recovery from the recession has been spotty with some STOV market sub-segments growing strongly while others continue to struggle.;
  • STOVs continue to be upgraded, adopting automotive features and standards, which are starting to migrate from high-end recreational UTVs into other STOV segments, promoting market growth;
  • Golf cars remain a staple product in both new and used vehicle markets but the fleet market continues to face the challenge of a declining golf course population;
  • The high-end off-road market weathered the recession and slow recovery very well. The promise of profits is increasing segment competition, marked by frequent, feature laden model introductions and new sub-segments like crossover UTVs;
  • Commercial markets are a high growth area for LSVs while the personal transportation market without tax credits offers only low to moderate growth;
  • Schools, municipalities and even some corporate customers are increasingly turning to LSVs to fulfill “green” goals and policies with safety features a strong decision-making factor as well;

*  *  *  *

Further information, including a detailed table of contents, can be obtained by contacting

Stephen Metzger, Managing Director, SVR

(914) 293-7577 or smetzger@azureblog.smallvehicleresource.com

Polaris 4Q 2012 Earnings Report & Conference Call

Last week Polaris reported another strong quarter and year for 2012. They continue to lead the UTV market and are now making inroads in the LSV market with their GEM acquisition.  Polaris increased fourth quarter sales 15% to a record $900 million. Fourth quarter net income and earnings per share both increased 38% to $88.1 million and $1.24 per share, respectively. Full year 2012 sales increased 21% to a record $3.2 billion and net income increased 37% to $312.3 million. Net margins reached a record 9.7% and earnings per share rose $4.40, up 38%. Several days after the call management announced that the quarterly dividend would be raised by 14% to $0.42 a share. Some other highlights from the conference call:

  •  Revenue in the Off-Road Vehicle (ORV) segment grew 22%, powered by over 20% growth in North American side-by-side sales which outpaced the expansion of the overall market that was estimated at low teen percent.
  • While fourth quarter wholesale sales to Bobcat decreased, the full year retail sales there increased upper-single digits. 2012 milItary segment sales were flat.
  • Sales from GEM and Goupil increased over 50% in the fourth quarter with GEM up double-digits and orders up even more as distribution increased and a revamped 2013 model line-up was introduced. 
  • Overall revenue is expected to increase 7-10% in 2013 with net income and earnings per share projected to increase in the range of 10% to 15% over 2012.
  • The management expects a slowdown in the rate of growth in the UTV/side-by-side market but still expects the overall market to grow.
  • Sales of Off-Road Vehicles are expected to increase in the high-single digits percent range with retail sales of side-by-side vehicles and ATVs continuing to outpace the overall market, both in North America and internationally.
  • Europe and Middle East sales in the ORV market are expected to decline because of economic conditions.
  • A new $50 million manufacturing facility will begin construction in Europe in the first half of 2013 to cut costs, better match products to the local markets and alleviate anticipated production constraints in current facilities. It will be a 325,000 square foot facility for welding, painting and assembly of ATVs and UTVs. Production will begin in the second-half of 2014.
  • An India plant will also be built as part of their joint venture with Eicher with production expected to begin in 2015.
  •  The new RZR XP900 Jagged X was well received by dealers and sold out of it’s initial allotment within 24 hours.
  • Over 150 GEM dealers were added in 2012  and 2013 revenue is expected to grow double digits with a focus on growing B2B customers.
  • For Goupil, a new G5 hybrid product is launching in 2013.

Read the earnings call transcript:  Seekingalpha.com

New Vehicle Manufacturers at the PGA Show

There were a couple new vehicle manufacturers at the PGA Show looking to increase their distribution network. One was Oreion Motors that produces a number of street-legal vehicles with a Hummer body styling that they have licensed. They had their Hummer HX and the convertible version, the Hummer HX-T on display at the show.  Both are electric vehicles with 72v systems and AC motors. Range is claimed to be 60 miles or more with the pack of 9 eight-volt batteries and on-board Delta Q charger. A lithium option is also available for a 100 mile range. The upscale vehicles feature such amenities as alloy wheels, heated seats, LCD digital dash display, LED lighting and sport seating.

Hummer HX-T from Oreion Motors

The company also offers their Reeper model, a gas-powered LSV that is designed for use either off-road on trails or on local streets or within gated-communities.  This vehicle is street-legal in all but California. The vehicle can also be configured to travel at higher than typical LSV speeds.  The Reeper is a 4×4 and each wheel has a fully mechanical locking differential and disc brakes. The company currently has approximately 40 dealers in the US. The vehicles components are manufactured in China and some assembly is performed in the US.

Another OEM at the show was Donggan Ruida EV Technology Co., a Chinese manufacturer of electric golf cars, utility vehicles and people movers looking for distribution in the US. Their hunting/general utility vehicle was on display at the show. This vehicle featured a 72v power system, AC motor and LED lighting. The company currently has no distributors in the US.

Hunting/Utility vehicle from Ruida Electric Vehicle Technology Co. New Vehicle

LED lighting on the hunting/utility vehicle from Ruida Electric Vehicle Technology Co.

LSVs Exempt From Washington State EV Tax

A Washington state tax on electric vehicles will go into effect February 2013 but will exclude vehicles like LSVs with a top speed of 35 mph or less.  The $100 tax was instituted to address the conundrum of electric vehicles not paying any gasoline taxes earmarked for highway and other road maintenance, even though they use these roads as well.  The tax is the first in the nation of this kind.  As EV use increases it is likely that other states will try to recoup lost gas taxes in a similar way.  Learn more:  InsideEVs.com

Polaris Recalls GEMs and Ranger 400 Vehicles

Polaris has issued voluntary recalls of some GEM low-speed vehicles and Ranger 400 utility vehicles.

GEM Recall – Polaris acquired GEM in April 2011 and has been tracking a warranty issue with the parking braking assembly which has now led to a recall in conjunction with NHTSA.  Certain assembly components can “…wear prematurely and prevent the brake from engaging.” and potentially lead to the vehicle rolling away after the driver exits. The recall includes the following 2010 to 2013 GEM models manufactured between January 14, 2010 and November 23, 2012:  E2, E2 XLD, E2L, E2S, E4, E4S, ELXD EL E6, E6S and ES.  The recall covers a total of 4,394 vehicles.  The recall is expected to start in February and Polaris will notify owners.  Dealers will replace the parking brake lever assembly free of charge.  Polaris customer service can be contacted at 1-888-704-5290.  Learn more:  NHSTA

Ranger 400 Recall  – In cooperation with the CPSC Polaris is recalling 327 2013 Ranger 400 utility vehicles because the vehicle’s throttle can fail to operate properly, possibly causing the loss of vehicle control.  To date there have been no report of injuries related to the issue.  The vehicles were sold between July and September 2012.  The recall affects 2013 Ranger 400 vehicles with model number R13RH45AG and VIN numbers between 4XARH45A3D4726305 and 4XARH45A7DE648444 however not all VIN numbers in the range are included in this recall.  Owners can conduct a VIN-based search for recall information at the Polaris website.  Polaris is contacting owners directly to schedule a free repair.  Vehicles should not be used until repaired.  Polaris can be contacted at (888) 704-5290, from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. CT Monday through Friday.  Learn more:  CPSC.gov

 

NHTSA Proposes “alert sound” For EVs Including LSVs

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has proposed rules to develop a standard for an “alert sound” so the blind, visually impaired and other pedestrians know that a vehicle is near.  NHTSA is proposing to:

establish a Federal motor vehicle safety standard (FMVSS) setting minimum sound requirements for hybrid and electric vehicles. This new standard would require hybrid and electric passenger cars, light trucks and vans (LTVs), medium and heavy duty, trucks, and buses, low speed vehicles (LSVs), and motorcycles to produce sounds meeting the requirements of this standard…..The proposed standard establishes minimum sound requirements for hybrid and electric vehicles when operating under 30 kilometers per hour (km/h) (18 mph), when the vehicle’s starting system is activated but the vehicle is stationary, and when the vehicle is operating in reverse.

The ruling is in response to the Pedestrian Safety Enhancement Act of 2010 which required the issue to be studied and a standard established.  NHTSA estimates that the appropriate technology to meet the standard will cost approximately $30 per vehicle. There will be a comment period for the next 60 days and eventually a three year roll-out possibly starting in September 2015 if the process runs smoothly.

The standards developed by NHTSA are based on highway capable vehicle.  However, LSVs have been “tentatively” included in the proposed rule making but the agency has not performed any acoustic testing on LSVs, has limited real-world crash data on the vehicles and not sure if the minium sound levels are appropriate for LSVs.  They believe application of the standard to LSVs “…will result in 10 fewer injured pedestrians and pedalcyclists.”  The agency is seeking comments as to whether the standards should apply to LSVs.  Learn more:  Quiet_Vehicles_NPRM (PDF) 

Comment:  I believe the LSV’s varied usage environments creates problems for the application of this standard.  LSVs are used on campuses/parks, within gated communities and on public roads.  While the standard could apply for public road usage, there may be  issues in other operating environments.  Namely, LSVs in gated communities and campuses/parks may spend a significant amount of time operating below the 18 mph threshold during much of their normal operations within these environments.  This could lead to the vehicle constantly putting out an alert sound.  
In fact, we have conducted utility vehicle related research on college campuses recently and on some of these campuses maintenance staff are told not to exceed 15 mph while driving around campus walkways and sidewalks.  Furthermore, campuses and parks have been a particularly strong market lately for LSVs as institutions push green and sustainability initiatives.  I would think a park environment would not be an area where you would want to constantly hear an alert sound.  Given the relatively low penetration of LSVs and NHTSA’s own acknowledgement that they lack real-world data, it may be more appropriate to wait and develop LSV specific data first before applying the standard to LSVs.

NEVs A Small Part of California’s Clean Vehicle Rebate Program

Statistics from California’s Clean Vehicle Rebate Program show that rebates for nearly 16,000 vehicles have been provided from March 2010 to December 2012.  Just over half of the rebates have been for Zero Emission Vehicles (ZEVs), not including NEVs.  NEVs account for only a small slice of the rebate pie with a total of 86 rebates over the time period.  The slice is even smaller in dollar terms as ZEVs are eligible for rebates of up to $2,500 and NEVs only $900.  In total approximately $24 million went to ZEV rebates and $100,000 for NEV rebates.  Other eligible vehicle categories include plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEV), which account for the bulk of the remaining rebates, commercial ZEVs and zero emission motorcycles (ZEM).  In comparison, ZEMs were slightly more popular than NEVs with rebates provided for 120 vehicles.  Learn more:  Torquenews.com

Virginia Rejected Factory Incentives for MyCar LSV Manufacturer

Greentech Automotive, maker of the MyCar LSV, had their request for incentives to build a factory rejected by the state of Virginia before receiving help from Mississippi where they opened a plant in Tunica last summer.  The rejection, based on the lack of viability of their business plan, is currently of interest because the company chairmanTerry McAuliffe, formerly Chair of the Democratic National Committee, is now a gubernatorial candidate for Virginia.  Virginia officials questioned whether the goal of selling 100,000 MyCars was realistic given that the company “… lacked brand recognition, had not demonstrated anything about the vehicle, did not have emissions approval from the EPA, had no distribution network, and had nobody in executive management with experience in automobile manufacturing.”  Greentech Automotive is positioning the $10,000 MyCar as an affordable electric vehicle alternative to much higher priced highway speed EVs. Learn more:  Torquenews.com

Comment:  While LSVs have developed their niche and can be used in a variety of commercial and consumer applications, their sales have never approached the level that MyCar is predicting.  Their target of 100,000 would surpass what has cumulatively been sold in the US to date.

EV Green USA Opens Second EV Franchise

EV Green USA, a manufacturer of small electric vehicles, has opened their second sales location in Cathedral City, CA.  Franchise owner Darryl Atkinson sees the economic advantages of the vehicles as the primary driver for demand with environmental benefits as secondary.  EV Green USA produces a wide range of electric LSV models from those used for personal transportation to commercial shuttles to work utility vehicles and off-road hunting vehicles. Prices range from $10,500 to $14,500 for the vehicles that are assembled in Norco, CA from a mixture of mostly China sourced components and some US sourced parts. Learn more:  Mydesert.com