Recent Side-by-Side Dealer Survey Confirms Strong Market

Powersports Business and RBC Capital Markets recently released their 2012 fourth quarter side-by-side dealer survey and it confirms a strong market and continued positive outlook for the side-by-side market. More than a third of the dealers surveyed reported new unit sales growth of 10% or more for the fourth quarter 2012 and over 40% of dealers expect sales to increase 10% or more in 2013. Thee figures are in line what Small Vehicle Resource (SVR) has found in interviews with dealers for our recent STOV market study.

Some other highlights from the study:

  • Side-by-side buyers spend money on accessories – often $1,000 but up to $5,000 is not uncommon helped by inclusion in financing plans. SVR has heard similar amounts from dealers  – $1,000 to $1,500 spending on accessories is common.
  • Popular accessories:  cabs, roofs, windshields, wheels, gun racks, plows, heaters, stereos and street kits. The last one is not too surprising. The trend for a few years had been for work UTVs to be made LSV compliant, but now more states and municipalities are passing ordinances to allow UTVs on streets with some modifications but not as stringent as LSV requirements.
  • A sizable portion of buyers, around half, are new to the industry attracted by the utility and convenience of the vehicles for:  older buyers; seating capacity; a generally more comfortable riding experience;
  • 89% of Polaris Ranger and 73% of Polaris RZR dealers were extremely or somewhat satisfied with sales of the vehicles in comparison to 65% of Can Am Commander and  50% of John Deere Gator dealers.  Honda Big Red and Yamaha Rhino dealers were clear laggards in this measurement with 13% and 11% respectively.

The latter point is more proof that the recreational riding segment of the side-by-side market is the fastest growing segment. Part of the reason is that buyers in the segment tend to have a shorter buying cycle. They are interested in features and performance and are willing to upgrade to a newer vehicle sooner than buyers in other segments. These are also higher price point vehicles with the typical buyer having a higher household income. In a choppy and uncertain recovery this segment’s buyers have more money to spend than other side-by-side segments. The aggressive marketing and pace of model introductions in this segment as companies vie for market share is a factor as well.

Learn more:  Powersportsbusiness.com

Small Vehicle Resource Announces New Market Study on the Small, Task-Oriented Vehicle Market in the US

 New STOV Market Study:  Trends, 2007-2011, Estimates and Forecasts 2012-2116

       New Study Analyzes the Product Base of an $12 Billion STOV Industry

________________________________

Small Vehicle Resource, LLC (SVR) has published the sixth in a series of market research reports on the small, task-oriented vehicle (STOV) industry. The report covers small vehicle products ranging from golf cars, light transport and portage vehicles built off golf car frames, to heavy duty traditional turf vehicles and off-road utility and recreational vehicles (side-by-sides). The study concentrates on the product side of an estimated $12+ billion industry, including parts and service.

 

SVR is the successor company to International Market Solutions, LLC with the same principals involved. “SVR,” explains Managing Director, Stephen Metzger, “is an appropriate rebranding of our research efforts, as ‘Small Vehicle Resource’ gives clear view of our focus in the STOV industry.” The Small, Task-Oriented Vehicle Market in the United States, Trends from 2006-2012, Forecasts to 2016 contains analyses and the outlook for:

• The golf car industry–the market for fleet golf cars;

• Privately-owned vehicles–golf cars, upgraded golf cars, low-speed vehicles (LSVs);

• Utility vehicles built on golf car or modified golf car frames;

• Heavy duty utility vehicles, focusing on off-road side-by-side vehicles;

• Non-traditional, or “crossover” competition across industry segments;

• Used vehicles as viable options to new vehicles;

• Technologies that will have an impact on the industry;

• State of the market survey from dealers’ perspective;

• Latest regulations on small vehicles ownership and use.

“Small, task-oriented vehicle or STOV is the generic term we created to describe exactly what these vehicles do,” states Metzger. “They are designed for a relatively narrow range of tasks, such as golf, personal transportation, haulage and other work functions, but for the most part are built off of a few universally applicable body frames and drive trains.” “This sets the stage,” Metzger continues, “for substantial crossover competition, with OEMs moving out of their traditional markets–a trend and development we analyze in detail.”

Major findings in the study are:

  • SVR forecasts new vehicle production for the overall STOV market to grow 18% from estimated 462,000 units in 2012 to approximately 545,000 units in 2016;
  • Excluding the off-road segment which is predominantly ICE, electric power continues to gain significantly in units sold, across all segments of the golf car-type market, that includes golf cars, privately-owned vehicles, and light portage and transport vehicles increasing from 72% in 2007 to a projected 82% in 2016.
  • Recovery from the recession has been spotty with some STOV market sub-segments growing strongly while others continue to struggle.;
  • STOVs continue to be upgraded, adopting automotive features and standards, which are starting to migrate from high-end recreational UTVs into other STOV segments, promoting market growth;
  • Golf cars remain a staple product in both new and used vehicle markets but the fleet market continues to face the challenge of a declining golf course population;
  • The high-end off-road market weathered the recession and slow recovery very well. The promise of profits is increasing segment competition, marked by frequent, feature laden model introductions and new sub-segments like crossover UTVs;
  • Commercial markets are a high growth area for LSVs while the personal transportation market without tax credits offers only low to moderate growth;
  • Schools, municipalities and even some corporate customers are increasingly turning to LSVs to fulfill “green” goals and policies with safety features a strong decision-making factor as well;

*  *  *  *

Further information, including a detailed table of contents, can be obtained by contacting

Stephen Metzger, Managing Director, SVR

(914) 293-7577 or smetzger@azureblog.smallvehicleresource.com

Yamaha Powersports Sales Increase in North America in 2012

North American net sales of powersports products were up 3.4 percent to about $555 million in 2012. Sales of golf cars and generators increased in the US, however ATV sales declined. In a recent interview management stated that side-by-side retail sales had increased by 60% for the year. They expect more growth in the future pointing to overall industry recovery from the recession, general consumer enthusiasm for powersports products, improved financing options for consumers and a more stabilized Yamaha dealership network.  Learn more:  Powersportsbusiness.com

Arctic Cat Earnings Call Recap

Here are some of the highlights from Arctic Cat’s most recent earnings call. They focus on the side-by-side part of the business. Their fiscal year ends March 31.

  • ATV sales (includes ATVs and side-by-sides) increased 28% to $69.6 million from $54.4 million for the quarter compared to last year driven by strong Wildcat side-by-side sales. ATV sales increased 40% year to date to $212.2 million from $151.1.
  • North American side-by-side retail sales increased over 35% for the quarter and year-to-date retail sales increased over 50% driven by both our Wildcat Sports side-by-side and Prowler HDX utility vehicle.
  • Recently announced a new 4-seat Wildcat 1000 model and a new high performance 90-plus horsepower Wildcat model. Both of these will begin shipping in the fiscal fourth quarter.
  • Expect the ATV and side-by-side business to grow sales 36% to 41% for the full year driven by shipments of the Wildcat side-by-side models.
  • “Extremely positive” feedback received from dealers on the new Wildcat models. Extra horsepower is good for dune riding.
  • Demo rides for media and customers went “extremely well” for Wildcat X and Wildcat 4
  • Side-by-side market as a whole is up and estimated 10% and 20% for the year.
  • On option and accessory spending:  Maybe spend $300 or $400 on Prowler or but “…you’re seeing customers that will come in and spend over $1000 and $1500 putting on roof, windshield, things of that nature on a Wildcat.
  • The 64.5-inch width of the Wildcat makes it more suitable for out west on dunes and more wide open trails rather than narrower ATV trails in the east.

Learn more:  Seekingalpha.com

John Deere Recalls 4,700 UTVs

John Deere RSX850i

John Deere recalled some of their RSX850i utility vehicles

John Deere issued another recall for their RSX850i utility vehicle. The recall involves approximately 4,700 vehicles manufactured between May and October of 2012 and includes the RSX850i Base, Sport and Trail model utility vehicles. The reason for the recall is potential leaking from the oil filter which can pose a fire hazard. According to the CPSC, “Pinholes or cracks have been identified in oil filters installed by the engine supplier which were not manufactured to specification.” To date four fires but no injuries have been reported related to the issue.  Vehicles with the following serial numbers are affected:

1M0850TB++M010009 thru 1M0850TB++M010778
1M0850TS++M010001 thru 1M0850TS++M012077
1M0850TT++M010001 thru 1M0850TT++M012867

The vehicles were sold from  August 2012 through January 2013. Owners should stop using the vehicles and schedule a free inspection and repair with their local dealer.  John Deere will be contacting registered owners directly or they can call (800) 537-8233 for more information.

There appears to be some overlap between this recall and a previous one involving a fuel line issue. While the serial number ranges do not match exactly, the manufacturing timeframes are the same and the selling timeframes overlap several months. It is likely there were multiple problems with the same engines.

Learn more:  CPSC.gov

 

Club Car Recalls Vehicles

Club Car modified a previous recall of utility vehicles and golf cars, and has issued a new recall for a limited number of golf cars and transport vehicles. The modification of a previous recall from September 2012 involves a change in model and serial numbers. The complete list of relevant model and serial numbers is available at CPSC.gov. The recall still involves approximately 4,000 vehicles.

A separate recall involving approximately 950 golf cars and transport vehicles was initiated earlier this week. The recall involves five different gas-powered 2013 Precedent models.  The fuel hose could separate from the fuel tank, posing a fire hazard. Consumers should contact any Club Car dealer for a free inspection and repair of the fuel hose system. Club Car is also contacting owners directly. The relevant models and serial numbers follow:

Model Model number Serial number range
Prec i2 Signature 4 Pass Gas PW 1307-346775
Prec i2 Signature Gas PY 1307-346310 to 1307-346312
Precedent i2 4 Pass Gas PF 1307-345436 to 1311-352118
Precedent i2 Gas PR 1306-344140 to 1311-352109
Precedent i2L Gas CF 1307-345914 to 1310-349283

Learn more:  CPSC.gov

BRP Recalls 25,000 Can Am Commanders

BRP recently announced a recall of approximately 25,000 Can Am Commanders due to a fire hazard related to debris buildup around the exhaust pipe area. There have been 18 reports of fires related to the issue. The recall involves a wide range of models from 2011 to 2013. The models affected include:

Model Year 2011
Can-Am Commander 800R and 1000
Can-Am Commander XT 800R and 1000
Can-Am Commander X 1000

Model Year 2012
Can-Am Commander 800R and 1000
Can-Am Commander XT 800R and 1000
Can-Am Commander X 1000
Can-Am Commander Limited 1000

Model Year 2013
(without Front Grill Kit)
Can-Am Commander 800R and 1000
Can-Am Commander XT 800R and 1000
Can-Am Commander X 1000
Can-Am Commander Limited 1000
Can-Am Commander DPS 800R and 1000
The vehicles were sold from April 2010 through November 2012.

According to the company, consumers should immediately stop using the recalled vehicles, check their exhaust for accumulated debris as described in the Cleaning Procedure of Exhaust Area guide and contact a BRP dealer to schedule a free update kit repair. The guide is available to consumers at their local BRP dealer or online at www.can-am.brp.com. BRP has notified registered consumers directly about this recall and the vehicle’s cleaning guide.

Learn more:  CPSC.gov

Polaris 4Q 2012 Earnings Report & Conference Call

Last week Polaris reported another strong quarter and year for 2012. They continue to lead the UTV market and are now making inroads in the LSV market with their GEM acquisition.  Polaris increased fourth quarter sales 15% to a record $900 million. Fourth quarter net income and earnings per share both increased 38% to $88.1 million and $1.24 per share, respectively. Full year 2012 sales increased 21% to a record $3.2 billion and net income increased 37% to $312.3 million. Net margins reached a record 9.7% and earnings per share rose $4.40, up 38%. Several days after the call management announced that the quarterly dividend would be raised by 14% to $0.42 a share. Some other highlights from the conference call:

  •  Revenue in the Off-Road Vehicle (ORV) segment grew 22%, powered by over 20% growth in North American side-by-side sales which outpaced the expansion of the overall market that was estimated at low teen percent.
  • While fourth quarter wholesale sales to Bobcat decreased, the full year retail sales there increased upper-single digits. 2012 milItary segment sales were flat.
  • Sales from GEM and Goupil increased over 50% in the fourth quarter with GEM up double-digits and orders up even more as distribution increased and a revamped 2013 model line-up was introduced. 
  • Overall revenue is expected to increase 7-10% in 2013 with net income and earnings per share projected to increase in the range of 10% to 15% over 2012.
  • The management expects a slowdown in the rate of growth in the UTV/side-by-side market but still expects the overall market to grow.
  • Sales of Off-Road Vehicles are expected to increase in the high-single digits percent range with retail sales of side-by-side vehicles and ATVs continuing to outpace the overall market, both in North America and internationally.
  • Europe and Middle East sales in the ORV market are expected to decline because of economic conditions.
  • A new $50 million manufacturing facility will begin construction in Europe in the first half of 2013 to cut costs, better match products to the local markets and alleviate anticipated production constraints in current facilities. It will be a 325,000 square foot facility for welding, painting and assembly of ATVs and UTVs. Production will begin in the second-half of 2014.
  • An India plant will also be built as part of their joint venture with Eicher with production expected to begin in 2015.
  •  The new RZR XP900 Jagged X was well received by dealers and sold out of it’s initial allotment within 24 hours.
  • Over 150 GEM dealers were added in 2012  and 2013 revenue is expected to grow double digits with a focus on growing B2B customers.
  • For Goupil, a new G5 hybrid product is launching in 2013.

Read the earnings call transcript:  Seekingalpha.com

John Deere and BRP Recall Utility Vehicles

Following on the heels of recent recalls announced in cooperation with Transport Canada, John Deere and BRP have announced similar recalls in cooperation with the Consumer Product Safety Commission in the US.

John Deere RSX850i UTV Recall – The company is recalling 4,650  RSX850i Base, Sport and Trail model utility vehicles manufactured between May 2012 and October 2012 because a fuel line may separate and create a fire hazard.  To date no injuries have been reported related to the issue.  Vehicles with the following serial numbers are affected:

1M0850TB++M010013 thru 1M0850TB++M010768
1M0850TS++M010001 thru 1M0850TS++M011932
1M0850TT++M010001 thru 1M0850TT++M012765

The vehicles were sold from August to September 2012.  Owners should stop using the vehicles and schedule a free inspection and repair with their local dealer.  John Deere will be contacting registered owners directly or they can call (800) 537-8233 for more information.  Learn more:  CPSC.gov

BRP Can-Am Commander Utility Vehicle Recall – BRP is recalling 3,400 of their various Can-Am Commander utility vehicles because an improper assembly of the steering column to the rack and pinion can result in the loss of steering control and pose a safety hazard.  To date no injuries have been reported related to the issue.  The recall involves the following model years and models:

Model Year 2011
Can-Am Commander 800 and 1000
Can-Am Commander XT 800R and 1000
Can-Am Commander X 1000

Model Year 2012                                                    Can-Am Commander 800 and 1000
Can-Am Commander XT 800 and 1000
Can-Am Commander X 1000
Can-Am Commander Limited 1000

The vehicles were sold between April 2011 and December 2012.  Owners should immediately stop using the recalled vehicles and contact a BRP dealer to schedule a free repair. BRP has notified registered consumers directly about this recall or they can be reached at  (888) 638-5397.  Learn more:  CPSC.gov

 

Polaris Recalls GEMs and Ranger 400 Vehicles

Polaris has issued voluntary recalls of some GEM low-speed vehicles and Ranger 400 utility vehicles.

GEM Recall – Polaris acquired GEM in April 2011 and has been tracking a warranty issue with the parking braking assembly which has now led to a recall in conjunction with NHTSA.  Certain assembly components can “…wear prematurely and prevent the brake from engaging.” and potentially lead to the vehicle rolling away after the driver exits. The recall includes the following 2010 to 2013 GEM models manufactured between January 14, 2010 and November 23, 2012:  E2, E2 XLD, E2L, E2S, E4, E4S, ELXD EL E6, E6S and ES.  The recall covers a total of 4,394 vehicles.  The recall is expected to start in February and Polaris will notify owners.  Dealers will replace the parking brake lever assembly free of charge.  Polaris customer service can be contacted at 1-888-704-5290.  Learn more:  NHSTA

Ranger 400 Recall  – In cooperation with the CPSC Polaris is recalling 327 2013 Ranger 400 utility vehicles because the vehicle’s throttle can fail to operate properly, possibly causing the loss of vehicle control.  To date there have been no report of injuries related to the issue.  The vehicles were sold between July and September 2012.  The recall affects 2013 Ranger 400 vehicles with model number R13RH45AG and VIN numbers between 4XARH45A3D4726305 and 4XARH45A7DE648444 however not all VIN numbers in the range are included in this recall.  Owners can conduct a VIN-based search for recall information at the Polaris website.  Polaris is contacting owners directly to schedule a free repair.  Vehicles should not be used until repaired.  Polaris can be contacted at (888) 704-5290, from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. CT Monday through Friday.  Learn more:  CPSC.gov